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Avik Roy: Summers: Inflation Reached 18% In 2022 Using The Government’s Previous Formula
Posted: March 23, 2024 at 08:22 AM (Saturday)

Numerous commentators–especially those defending President Biden's economic record–have puzzled over why Americans are sour about the state of the U.S. economy. Unemployment rates have returned to pre-pandemic lows, commentators correctly point out, and the official rate of inflation is declining. So why are Americans ignoring the view of ...


Avik Roy: CMS’ Medicare Advantage Payment Cuts Come With Risks
Posted: March 1, 2024 at 10:58 AM (Friday)

There's a famous scene in Star Wars: A New Hope where Luke Skywalker, Han Solo and company are trapped in a garbage compactor on the Death Star. The walls of the compactor slowly squeeze in, threatening to flatten the protagonists before they can get out. Opponents of Medicare Advantage are hoping that the federal government will do ...


Avik Roy: CBO: Federal Interest Payments Now Exceed Defense Spending
Posted: February 7, 2024 at 07:42 PM (Wednesday)

Today, the Congressional Budget Office published its annual 10-year Budget and Economic Outlook. According to the CBO's latest estimates, in 2024 the U.S. government will pass a grim and once-unimaginable milestone. The federal debt has gotten so large that spending on interest to service that debt now exceeds federal spending on ...


Avik Roy: There’s No Such Thing As An 'American-Style’ Central Bank Digital Currency
Posted: April 12, 2023 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

Central bank digital currencies, or CBDCs, have come under withering criticism for the way they enable authoritarian governments to control their citizens. And yet, a number of leading figures in American financial regulation continue to advocate for what they call an "American-style" CBDC. But it is hard to reconcile the surveillance ...


Avik Roy and Gregg Girvan: Drug companies are warning that Medicare pricing reform spells doom. Don't fall for it.
Posted: August 8, 2022 at 08:22 AM (Monday)

Democrats are on the verge of passing legislation that, among other things, would empower the government to directly negotiate the price Medicare pays for a handful of the costliest prescription drugs. The measure has precipitated hyperbole from industry lobbyists, who say it represents an existential threat to medical innovation. One ...


Avik Roy: Lummis-Gillibrand Crypto Bill: An Important Step In Bringing Regulatory Clarity To Bitcoin, Stablecoins, & Digital Assets
Posted: July 8, 2022 at 06:41 PM (Friday)

Last month, Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis and New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand unveiled their long-anticipated bipartisan legislative proposal to build a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. If the bill, called the "Responsible Financial Innovation Act," were to become law, the U.S. could instantly leapfrog ...


Avik Roy: Biden’s Beijing-Style Plan for Single-Payer Banking
Posted: October 8, 2021 at 06:30 AM (Friday)

It would do far more to transform the character of the U.S. economy than single-payer health care. China has established itself as a pioneer in yet another high-tech field: that of blockchain-based central-bank digital currencies, or CBDCs. It's not surprising that China would embrace such a technology. What is surprising is the interest ...


Avik Roy: El Salvador To Make Bitcoin Legal Tender: A Milestone In Monetary History
Posted: June 7, 2021 at 09:16 AM (Monday)

On June 5, at a conference in Miami, El Salvador President Nayib Bukele announced that the Central American country is in the process of adopting bitcoin as legal tender: a move that would make El Salvador the first country to deem bitcoin an official national currency. Despite El Salvador’s small size, Bukele’s effort is a major milestone ...


Avik Roy: Restoring the Conservative Conscience
Posted: January 21, 2021 at 12:26 PM (Thursday)

Nineteenth-century liberals offer lessons for today. Thirty-one> years ago, a mass gathering in front of an important government structure signified the high-water mark of the American conservative movement. It was November 9, 1989. Harald Jäger, an East German border officer, had watched a confused member of the Politburo announce that the ...


Avik Roy: How Trump’s New 'Most Favored Nation’ Executive Order Will Reduce Prescription Drug Costs In Medicare Parts B & D
Posted: September 14, 2020 at 09:20 AM (Monday)

Contrary to naysayers, President Trump’s new executive order on prescription drug pricing is the most important policy change to date in the effort to reduce Medicare’s runaway drug spending. Here’s why. Last July, President Trumpsigned a series of executive ordersmeant to reduce what Americans pay for prescription drugs. But the most important ...


Avik Roy: Trump’s 'Most Favored Nation’ Prescription Drug Executive Order Will Reduce Costs For Seniors & Taxpayers
Posted: July 24, 2020 at 04:00 PM (Friday)

Americans have long complained about the fact that drug companies overcharge U.S. patients for medicines that cost much less elsewhere. A quartet of executive orders from President Trump, issued today, will change that. “We are putting patients over lobbyists, senior citizens before special interests, and we’re putting America first,” said ...


Avik Roy: How Independent Primary Care Practices Can Survive The Coronavirus Downturn
Posted: May 30, 2020 at 08:16 AM (Saturday)

The COVID-19 economic lockdown hasn’t just affected your favorite local restaurants and bars, but also your primary care physician. Many independent practices may permanently close. Others will survive by embracing new ways of practicing medicine. In the traditional fee-for-service model of physician care, doctors get paid the more often they ...


Avik Roy: 43% Of COVID-19 Deaths Are In Nursing Homes & Assisted Living Facilities Housing 0.6% Of U.S.
Posted: May 26, 2020 at 12:14 PM (Tuesday)

Americans are vigorously debating the merits of continuing to lock down the U.S. economy to prevent the spread of COVID-19. A single statistic may hold the key to resolving this debate: the astounding share of deaths occurring in nursing homes and assisted living facilities. Nursing homes and assisted living facilities: The #1 COVID problem ...


Avik Roy: Reopening the U.S. Economy Even if the Pandemic Endures
Posted: April 24, 2020 at 11:02 AM (Friday)

It’s not true that the only way to improve public health is by shutting down the economy and the only way to improve the economy is by sacrificing public health. As the Covid-19 shutdown enters its second month, policy makers and commentators have emphasized that we’re not yet out of the woods. Deaths and hospitalizations are continuing to ...


Avik Roy: Inside The 'Slim Suit Crowd': 3 Health Care Entrepreneurs Aiding Trump's Coronavirus Response
Posted: April 3, 2020 at 11:02 AM (Friday)

On January 29, President Trump established a Coronavirus Task Force, now led by Vice President Mike Pence, to coordinate the administration’s response to the COVID–19 pandemic. Less widely reported—until now—is that a smaller second group, organized by presidential adviser and son-in-law Jared Kushner, is also playing a key role in ...


Avik Roy: Pharmaceuticals and the Coronavirus Pandemic
Posted: April 2, 2020 at 12:49 PM (Thursday)

When can we end social distancing and get back to normal life?” It’s the question on everyone’s mind, and one without a clear answer at this time. Here’s what we do know: An effective treatment against the novel coronavirus would make a big difference in getting us there. Remember the old adage, “There’s no cure for the common cold”? Well, ...


Avik Roy: Joe Biden's Health Care Plan Would Spend $750 Billion More On Obamacare And Cap Drug Price Inflation
Posted: March 4, 2020 at 09:29 AM (Wednesday)

Joe Biden’s sweeping success on Super Tuesday doesn’t just establish him as the 2020 Democratic frontrunner. It also elevates the contrast between Biden’s health reform plan and Bernie Sanders’ “Medicare for All.” Here’s what you need to know. Expanding Obamacare Biden describes his health reform plan as “building on the Affordable Care Act.” ...


Avik Roy: House Democrats' Capitulation on Surprise Billing Proves They'll Never Pass 'Medicare for All'
Posted: February 19, 2020 at 05:53 PM (Wednesday)

On the presidential campaign trail, Democratic candidates are making all sorts of promises about how they’ll use federal power to reduce the cost of health care, either through “Medicare for All” or a “public option.” But this month, in a key House committee vote on surprise medical billing, Democrats showed that they prioritize the views ...


Avik Roy: Fifth Circuit's Surgical Opinion Could Reshape Obamacare -- For The Better
Posted: December 19, 2019 at 10:31 AM (Thursday)

On December 18, The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit issued its long-awaited opinion in the latest Obamacare constitutional challenge, Texas v. Azar. By overturning the health law’s individual mandate, but remanding the rest of the ACA back to the lower court for further consideration, the 5th Circuit has created a pathway for ...


Avik Roy: How Arbitration For Surprise Medical Bills Leads To Runaway Costs & Higher Premiums
Posted: September 26, 2019 at 07:00 PM (Thursday)

Congress is making progress on surprise medical bills in the emergency room, a problem that is affecting a growing number of patients. But health care lobbyists in Washington have been working overtime to undermine these reforms, by demanding the use of arbitration to increase patient costs. A good bill in the Senate First, the good news. ...


Avik Roy: Trump And The Senate Make Significant Progress On Hospital Price Transparency
Posted: July 31, 2019 at 06:21 PM (Wednesday)

For years, observers from across the spectrum have called for more price transparency in health care, especially when it comes to hospitals. Thanks to initiatives from the White House and a key Senate committee, that moment is now close at hand. Proposed rule could revolutionize hospital markets On July 30, the Centers for Medicare and ...


Avik Roy: Inside The Pharmaceutical Lobby's Campaign For More Government Subsidies Through Medicare Part D
Posted: July 19, 2019 at 06:30 PM (Friday)

Senate health care leaders have developed a bipartisan, fiscally responsible way to reduce the cost of the Medicare prescription drug benefit, also known as Medicare Part D. But pharmaceutical companies, in a furious lobbying effort, are trying to blow up the deal by demanding that taxpayers spend tens of billions on drug ...


Avik Roy: 2020 Democratic Debate Reveals Flaw in GOP's Anti-Single-Payer Message
Posted: June 27, 2019 at 09:38 AM (Thursday)

In the first Democratic presidential debate of the 2020 cycle, candidates proposed a number of far-left ideas. But when Lester Holt asked, “Who here would abolish private health insurance in favor of a government run plan?” only two raised their hands: Elizabeth Warren and Bill De Blasio. .@lesterholtnbc: 'Who here would abolish their ...


Avik Roy:A New Bipartisan Bill Could Transform The Way We Pay For Hospital Care
Posted: June 17, 2019 at 09:46 AM (Monday)

A new proposal from the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee could have a meaningful impact on the high cost of U.S. hospital care—if it survives an onslaught from industry lobbyists. The bill, called the Lower Health Care Costs Act, is the product of bipartisan negotiations led by the HELP Committee’s chairman, Sen. ...


Avik Roy: Entitlement Deform: Is Congress Planning To Explode Drug Costs In Medicare Part D?
Posted: June 11, 2019 at 10:39 AM (Tuesday)

Medicare’s prescription drug benefit is known as the one federal entitlement program that routinely comes in under budget. Now, a new push is on in Congress to make changes to the program that could increase costs even further. Medicare’s unique drug benefit Medicare, originally enacted in 1965, has many outdated design flaws. One of those ...


Avik Roy: Trump Administration Caves To Pharma On Medicare Part D 'Protected Classes' Reform
Posted: May 17, 2019 at 07:02 AM (Friday)

The Trump administration has shelved a proposal that would have stymied egregious price hikes in the Medicare prescription drug program. It’s a major win for the drug industry, and a defeat for Trump’s goal of reducing drug prices. How ‘protected classes’ lead to skyrocketing prices The rule revolved around Medicare’s program for ...


Avik Roy: RAND Study: Hospitals Charging The Privately Insured 2.4 Times What They Charge Medicare Patients
Posted: May 11, 2019 at 12:03 AM (Saturday)

For generations, the prices that hospitals charge patients with private insurance have been shrouded in secrecy. An explosive new study has unlocked some of those secrets. It finds that employers and their insurers are failing to control hospital costs, increasing calls for transparency into insurer-hospital agreements. Growing frustrations ...


Avik Roy: In A Significant Step For Price Transparency, Trump Finalizes Rule Requiring List Prices In Drug Ads
Posted: May 8, 2019 at 08:10 AM (Wednesday)

The Trump administration announced today that it has finalized anew rule requiring all drug companies to include the list prices of their drugs in direct-to-consumer advertisements. If sunlight is the best disinfectant, the White House hopes that more visibility about drug prices will hold drugmakers more accountable, and reduce costs for ...


Avik Roy: How To End The Scourge Of Surprise Medical Bills In The Emergency Room
Posted: March 12, 2019 at 04:48 PM (Tuesday)

Opponents of the role of consumers and markets in health care have one go-to argument above all others: that you can’t shop for health care when you’re unconscious. The rising problem of gargantuan, surprise medical bills in surgical wards and emergency rooms shows that they have a point. The good news is that constructive, bipartisan reforms ...


Avik Roy: Biologic Medicines: The Biggest Driver Of Rising Drug Prices
Posted: March 8, 2019 at 08:20 PM (Friday)

The topic of high prescription drug prices is now the dominant policy issue on Capitol Hill. The new Congress has held a half-dozen hearings on the topic. But one issue that is at the heart of high prices has attracted little attention: the role of biologic drugs in rising drug costs. In 2017, according to data from the IQVIA Institute, ...


Avik Roy: In 2018, The Average Family Paid More To Hospitals Than To The Federal Government In Taxes
Posted: January 26, 2019 at 09:37 AM (Saturday)

For the average family, spending on hospitals now outpaces federal tax rates. For decades, we’ve talked and talked and talked about the high cost of American health care. But we haven’t done anything about it. As the above chart shows, the problem has gotten so bad that, today, hospital spending reduces the average family’s take-home pay more ...


Avik Roy: What Federal Courts -- And Obamacare's Architects -- Don't Get About Pre-Existing Conditions
Posted: December 16, 2018 at 08:44 AM (Sunday)

Last Friday, a federal judgein Fort Worth, Texas opined that the Affordable Care Act was unconstitutional. The judge’s rulingin the case hinges on a misunderstanding of how to cover people with pre-existing conditions that’s shared by courts, journalists, and even Obamacare’s architects. Obamacare’s faulty logic on pre-existing conditions ...


Avik Roy: Want To Reduce Health Insurance Premiums? Repeal Obamacare's Premium Tax
Posted: December 1, 2018 at 05:35 PM (Saturday)

Democrats’ 2010 health care bill was called the “Affordable Care Act.” But for hundreds of millions of Americans, premiums have risen even further because of Obamacare’s tax on insurance premiums. Congress has an opportunity to repeal this tax before members head home for the holidays. Taxing health insurance premiums is ...


Avik Roy: George H.W. Bush's Underappreciated Legacy, The Balanced Budgets Of The 1990s
Posted: December 1, 2018 at 03:46 PM (Saturday)

On the last night of November 2018, former President George H.W. Bush passed away at the age of 94. Bush is best known for his foreign policy achievements, most notably his deft handling of the breakup of the Soviet Union. But what’s less well-known is how Bush’s presidency resulted in the balanced budgets of the 1990s. Balanced budgets in ...


Avik Roy: It's Time For All Marco Rubio Supporters -- And All Conservatives -- To Unite Around Ted Cruz
Posted: March 15, 2016 at 10:01 PM (Tuesday)

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has suspended his presidential campaign, after losing his home state to Donald Trump by nearly 20 percentage points. It’s a disappointing end for Rubio, who was the Republican Party’s best hope for winning the general election, and for expanding the GOP tent to younger voters and minorities. But for Rubio supporters ...


Avik Roy: Liberal Think Tank Makes Amazing Discovery, Marco Rubio Wants To Cut Your Taxes
Posted: February 13, 2016 at 08:06 PM (Saturday)

In 2012, a liberal think tank called the Tax Policy Center published a report purporting to show that Mitt Romney’s plan for tax reform would raise taxes on the middle class. Though other tax experts debunked TPC’s claims, the Obama campaign gleefully deployed them to help win reelection. Well, TPC is back, this time with a 50-page report aimed ...


Avik Roy: CBO Slashes 2016 Obamacare Exchange Enrollment Projections By 8 Million
Posted: January 26, 2016 at 11:40 PM (Tuesday)

Yesterday, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office released its annual ten-yearBudget and Economic Outlook. The document contains the CBO’s updated estimates for economic growth, employment, and the nation’s fiscal health. The most notable change was to enrollment in Obamacare’s health insurance exchanges. The CBO, bowing to reality, ...


Avik Roy: Ted Cruz's Naive VAT Plan Would Lead Federal Tax Rates To Soar
Posted: January 20, 2016 at 11:00 AM (Wednesday)

Nearly every Republican running for President—even Donald Trump!—has released a plan to overhaul the federal tax code. One of the more interesting proposals for reforming corporate taxes has come from Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who favors replacing the corporate income tax with what Cruz calls a “business flat tax,” and what Canadians and Europeans ...


Avik Roy: Ushering in Medicine's Digital Revolution
Posted: January 20, 2016 at 07:10 AM (Wednesday)

As Internet-driven innovation revolutionizes the U.S. economy, many have wondered: Why isn't there an Uber of health care? Why can't we deploy, in health care, the same forces that are improving quality and lowering costs in virtually every other sector of the economy? Health care professionals are neither dumb nor averse to new technology; ...


Avik Roy: HEALTH CARE 2.0, Part 1: How to Think About Market Forces in Health Care
Posted: January 19, 2016 at 12:56 PM (Tuesday)

The Manhattan Institute's HEALTH CARE 2.0: USHERING IN MEDICINE'S DIGITAL REVOLUTION series delves into the details of how government policy stifles innovation in the delivery of health care. This paper, Part 1, surveys the key economic principles that drive innovative, dynamic sectors of the economy—and explains why American health care does ...


Avik Roy: Bernie Sanders' Incredible $28 Trillion Plan To Replace Obamacare With Single-Payer Health Care
Posted: January 18, 2016 at 03:20 AM (Monday)

On Sunday, January 17—hours before the Democratic presidential debate on NBC—Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders released details of his proposal to replace the entire U.S. health care system with a universal, government-run, single-payer one. “Twenty-nine million Americans today still do not have health insurance,” said Sanders in a white ...


Avik Roy: Yes, Marco Rubio Led The Effort To End Obamacare's Health Insurance Slush Fund
Posted: December 15, 2015 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

There has been some interesting coverage lately about Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’ssuccessful effortto ensure that taxpayers were not on the hook for excess losses incurred by insurers participating in Obamacare’s exchanges. Today, however, two Associated Press reportersallegedthat this victory against the law was one that Rubio “didn’t deliver.” ...


Avik Roy: If Republicans Delay The Cadillac Tax, They Will Cost Taxpayers Far More In The Long Run
Posted: December 11, 2015 at 11:32 AM (Friday)

Obamacare is a two-thousand-page jumble of costly and ill-designed mandates. But the health law contained one provision that, while imperfect, was the law’s best feature: its “Cadillac tax,” a feature that begins to end America’s discrimination against those who buy health insurance on their own. The Cadillac tax is the one thing in Obamacare ...


Avik Roy: Obama Administration, Obamacare Has Driven Health Spending Up, While Covering Fewer Than Expected
Posted: December 6, 2015 at 07:55 AM (Sunday)

For years, we’ve heard from Obamacare’s supporters that the law has been a success, because, they say, it has provided more people with health insurance, and slowed the growth rate of health spending. Well, the returns are in. Last week, the Obama administration’s Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services released its official estimates of ...


Avik Roy: If The Freedom Caucus And Paul Ryan Agree, Here's What The New House Speaker Will Do
Posted: October 20, 2015 at 10:18 PM (Tuesday)

On Tuesday evening, House Ways and Means Chairman Paul Ryan (R., Wisc.) held a press conference, in which he announced that he would indeed be willing to serve as Speaker of the House, provided that the House could unite around him, among other conditions. If Ryan and House hard-liners agree, the consequences could be significant for the ...


Avik Roy: Marco Rubio's Energy Plan
Posted: October 16, 2015 at 12:49 PM (Friday)

Despite President Obama's best efforts to stop it, the energy economy of the United States is undergoing a profound transformation. No one who lived through the Arab oil embargoes of the 1970's would imagine that the United States would, in the 2010's, become the world's largest oil producer—and, in fact, the world's leading energy ...


Avik Roy: Flatlined - White House Says Obamacare Exchange Enrollment Growth To Collapse In 2016
Posted: October 15, 2015 at 01:44 PM (Thursday)

For years, this blog has been warning about how the high cost of Obamacare-sponsored insurance would limit the law’s expansion of health coverage. Well, the chicken has come home to roost. Today, the Obama administration announced that it projected dramatically lower enrollment growth for Obamacare’s exchanges in 2016: only 1.3 million, ...


Avik Roy: Donald Trump on Obamacare on 60 Minutes, 'Everybody's Got To Be Covered' And 'The Government's Gonna Pay For It'
Posted: September 28, 2015 at 12:20 AM (Monday)

t suffices to say that Donald Trump has been all over the place on health care reform. Last month, at the first Republican presidential debate, Trump argued that socialized medicine in Scotland “ works incredibly well .” At the same time, Trump has said that Obamacare has “gotta go” and that he would “repeal and replace it something terrific.” ...


Avik Roy: Hillary Clinton's Drug Price Plan Would Make The Problem Worse -- But That Doesn't Mean We Should Do Nothing
Posted: September 22, 2015 at 01:21 PM (Tuesday)

oday in Iowa, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton unveiled a set of policies designed to tackle the high price of branded prescription medicines. Her plan, such as it is, wouldn’t solve the problem of high drug prices; in certain ways, it would make that problem worse. But advocates of the free market are mistaken if they think ...


Avik Roy: The Right Way To Reform Wall Street
Posted: September 9, 2015 at 06:00 AM (Wednesday)

It's easy to forget, but the Tea Party emerged not in response to ObamaCare, nor illegal immigration, but to the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. So why is it that the Tea Party's Republican allies have been mostly silent on the issue of Wall Street reform?
(DISCLOSURE: I am an adviser to former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, but the opinions ...


Avik Roy: How Will Scott Walker Pay For His Plan To Replace Obamacare? It's Largely Unclear
Posted: August 18, 2015 at 10:42 AM (Tuesday)

Today in Minnesota, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R.) will put forth his plan to repeal and replace Obamacare. The plan offers sizable health insurance subsidies that every American would be eligible for, regardless of income. It would increase Medicare spending by more than $800 billion over ten years. But there's one key question that ...


Avik Roy: No, Donald Trump, Single-Payer Health Care Doesn't 'Work Incredibly Well' In Canada & Scotland
Posted: August 7, 2015 at 10:46 AM (Friday)

Last night in Cleveland, the 17 declared Republican presidential candidates participated in the first official debates of the 2016 election season. Health care policy was a bone of contention. "How can you run for the Republican nomination and be for single-payer health care?" asked former Texas Gov. Rick Perry of Trump. When Fox anchor Bret ...


Avik Roy: No, Obamacare Isn't Any More 'Here To Stay' Than It Was Before The Supreme Court Decision
Posted: June 26, 2015 at 08:06 AM (Friday)

Yesterday, the Supreme Court sided with the Obama administration in the King v. Burwell Obamacare case. In a statement after the decision, President Obama declared that his signature health law is "here to stay." But in his remarks, the President knowingly ignored the key concept in the case: that if the challengers had won, not one word of ...


Avik Roy: Contrary To White House Denials, Emails Show Jonathan Gruber Was 'Integral' To Obamacare
Posted: June 21, 2015 at 11:03 PM (Sunday)

Last fall, videos emerged showing MIT economist Jonathan Gruber—the architect of Obamacare—mocking "the stupidity of the American voter" for not perceiving the ways in which the controversial health law concealed its true costs. At the time, President Obama and others went through great lengths to deny Gruber's centrality to Obamacare. But ...


Joseph Antos, James Capretta, Lanhee Chen, Yuval Levin, Thomas Miller, Ramesh Ponnuru, Avik Roy, Gail Wilensky, and David Wilson: A Market-Based Contingency Plan for King v. Burwell
Posted: June 15, 2015 at 08:00 AM (Monday)

Majorities in both chambers of Congress strongly believe that the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is too prescriptive and moves too much authority over the health system to the federal government. If the Supreme Court rules in favor of the plaintiffs in the King v. Burwell case, Congress will have the opportunity to advance health care policies ...


Avik Roy: The Flaw In Marco Rubio's Tax Reform Plan, Social Engineering
Posted: May 6, 2015 at 09:16 AM (Wednesday)

In March two freshman Republican senators—Mike Lee (Utah) and Marco Rubio (Fla.)—released an ambitious plan for tax reform. Nonpartisan experts believe the plan would turbocharge U.S. economic growth. But the plan is marred by a multitrillion-dollar effort at social engineering, one that would increase the deficit without expanding ...


Avik Roy: Unfixed, House Passes Medicare 'Doc Fix' That Will Increase Spending & Deficits For At Least 20 Years
Posted: March 26, 2015 at 01:35 PM (Thursday)

Today, with bipartisan support, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a significant Medicare reform bill, by a vote of 392 to 37. The bill would repeal Medicare's "Sustainable Growth Rate," or SGR, and spend hundreds of billions of dollars increasing payments to doctors under Medicare, while modestly increasing Medicare premiums ...


Avik Roy: HHS' Obamacare Contingency Plan Is To Ask States To Contract Exchange Work To The Feds
Posted: March 16, 2015 at 05:28 AM (Monday)

Something odd has been happening with the Supreme Court battle over the legality of subsidies for Obamacare's federally-organized health insurance exchange. The Obama administration has been claiming—beyond credulity—that it has no "Plan B" should the Court side with the administration's challengers. "We don't have an administrative action that ...


Avik Roy: CBO Downgrades Obamacare's Enrollment And Subsidy Projections
Posted: March 10, 2015 at 01:39 AM (Tuesday)

On March 9, the Congressional Budget Office unveiled its updated budget projections for the years 2015 to 2025, including significant changes to its outlook for Obamacare's spending and coverage estimates. The CBO now thinks that 8 million fewer U.S. residents will gain coverage from the health law, compared to its original estimates. But the ...


Avik Roy: Did Samuel Alito Throw Republicans An Obamacare Lifeline At The Supreme Court?
Posted: March 6, 2015 at 05:02 PM (Friday)

As we await a decision in the big Obamacare Supreme Court case, King v. Burwell, progressive pundits have continued to predict a health care apocalypse if the Court sides with challengers to the Obama administration. That's a wild exaggeration. But there will be some disruption, and Republicans in Congress have been debating the best way ...


Avik Roy: 7 Reasons Why Obamacare 'Federalism' Won't Lead Anthony Kennedy To Join The Supreme Court's Left In King v. Burwell
Posted: March 4, 2015 at 11:41 PM (Wednesday)

Today, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in King v. Burwell, a case with significant implications for the future of Obamacare. Most of the justices' questions proceeded along expected lines. Most notable was a series of questions by Associate Justice Anthony Kennedy, who questioned whether it would be constitutional for Obamacare to ...


Avik Roy: Ryan, Kline, And Upton Unveil More Specifics About Obamacare Supreme Court Contingency Plans
Posted: March 2, 2015 at 11:22 PM (Monday)

Yesterday, three key Republican senators on health care issues published an op-ed in which they outlined the broad principles of how they would address potential outcomes in the big Obamacare Supreme Court case, King v. Burwell. Today, three House Republican leaders—Paul Ryan (Wisc.), John Kline (Minn.), and Fred Upton (Mich.)—unveiled their ...


Avik Roy: Senate Republicans Reveal Their Supreme Court Obamacare Contingency Plan
Posted: March 2, 2015 at 06:51 AM (Monday)

On Sunday night, three Republican senators—Orrin Hatch (Utah), Lamar Alexander (Tenn.), and John Barrasso (Wyo.)—published their plan to address the potential outcome of a Supreme Court in the King v. Burwell case, for which a decision is expected this June. Republicans aim to convince the Supreme Court's swing justices—particularly ...


Avik Roy: The Veterans Independence Act, Giving Vets A Way Out Of Socialized Medicine
Posted: February 26, 2015 at 12:54 AM (Thursday)

Few Americans who read a newspaper didn't hear about last year's Veterans Health Administration scandal, in which VA officials manipulated patient waiting lists in order to deny care to ailing veterans. I observed at the time that the VA's brand of government-run medicine was far worse than Obamacare. And I questioned why lawmakers hadn't ...


Avik Roy: Contra White House, Obamacare Exchanges Enroll Roughly 5 Million Uninsured, Not 11.4 Million
Posted: February 18, 2015 at 12:48 AM (Wednesday)

Last night, the White House tweeted that "about 11.4 million Americans are signed up for private health coverage" through Obamacare's insurance exchanges. President Obama claims that this figure proves that his health law is working. But once you unravel the spin, what the latest numbers show is that the pace of enrollment in Obamacare's ...


Avik Roy: Unemployment Is Dropping, Thanks To A Republican Policy That Obama Opposed
Posted: February 11, 2015 at 10:55 AM (Wednesday)

In January, in his annual State of the Union address, President Obama bragged that "our economy is growing and creating jobs at the fastest pace since 1999." It's great news, to be sure. But according to a new paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research, the recent improvement in the labor market may be due to a policy change that ...


Avik Roy: The Impressive New Obamacare Replace Plan From Republicans Burr, Hatch, And Upton
Posted: February 5, 2015 at 12:35 PM (Thursday)

One year ago, three Republican senators permanently changed the Obamacare debate by publishing Congress' most credible plan yet to repeal and replace the health law. They called it the Patient Choice, Affordability, Responsibility, and Empowerment Act, or "Patient CARE." Last night, they published a new and improved version of their proposal, ...


Avik Roy: Heritage Foundation, 10 Countries With Universal Health Care Have Freer Economies Than The U.S.
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 01:53 PM (Tuesday)

Many American conservatives oppose universal health insurance because they see it as fundamentally antithetical to a free society. "If we persevere in our quixotic quest for a fetishized medical equality we will sacrifice personal freedom as its price," wrote a guest editorialist in the Wall Street Journal in 2009. But according to the ...


Avik Roy: The Real Minimum Wage, Zero
Posted: January 21, 2015 at 06:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Obama economy has been great for some people. Thanks to Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen, owners of equities and real estate have done very well since 2009. But things have been more challenging for those at the other end of the occupational ladder: those who work in jobs that pay by the hour. Due to ObamaCare, and to hikes in the minimum ...


Avik Roy: Transcending King v. Burwell; With The Supreme Court's Blessing, The GOP Can Replace Obamacare's Exchanges
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 12:54 AM (Thursday)

On March 4, the Supreme Court will hear oral arguments in King v. Burwell, the case that many pundits claim will "blow up Obamacare." That's an exaggeration; whatever the High Court decides, Obamacare will remain entrenched in federal law. But if the Supremes do end up ruling against the Obama administration—a distinct possibility—they will ...


Avik Roy: What '60 Minutes' Didn't Say - Hospitals Will Charge You More Under Obamacare
Posted: January 12, 2015 at 01:01 PM (Monday)

On Sunday evening, CBS' 60 Minutes did a feature story on Steven Brill's new book, America's Bitter Pill, in which Brill complains that Obamacare didn't do enough to tackle the exorbitantly high price of U.S. hospital care. "Obamacare does zero to change any of that," says Brill. That's not exactly right. What Brill—and CBS—don't tell you—is ...


Avik Roy: Democrats, Including Nancy Pelosi, Proposed Repealing Medicare In 1993
Posted: December 27, 2014 at 12:47 PM (Saturday)

In 2011, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a set of modest reforms to the Medicare program proposed by Rep. Paul Ryan. In response, Democrats charged that Republicans were seeking to "end Medicare as we know it," a claim that even liberal organs like PolitiFact called "the lie of the year." But there's a greater irony to Democrats' ...


Avik Roy: Six Reasons Why Vermont's Single-Payer Health Plan Was Doomed From The Start
Posted: December 21, 2014 at 11:52 PM (Sunday)

Last week, Vermont Governor Peter Shumlin (D.) announced that he was pulling the plug on his four-year quest to impose single-payer, government-run health care on the residents of his state. "In my judgment," said Shumlin at a press conference, "the potential economic disruption and risks would be too great to small businesses, working ...


Avik Roy: Congress's Budget Office Needs Better Numbers
Posted: December 1, 2014 at 06:58 PM (Monday)

Among the CBO’s weaknesses is its inability to gauge the effect of private competition in reducing public costs. Most of us now are familiar with MIT economist Jonathan Gruber ’s boast that he and others took advantage of the “stupidity of the American voter” to push ObamaCare through Congress. Behind this boast is something that many ...


Avik Roy: Sen. Chuck Schumer, Obamacare Focused 'On The Wrong Problem,' Ignores The Middle Class
Posted: November 26, 2014 at 02:12 AM (Wednesday)

Despite the enduring unpopularity of Obamacare, Congressional Democrats have up to now stood by their health care law, allowing that "it's not perfect" but that they are proud of their votes to pass it. That all changed on Tuesday, when the Senate's third-highest-ranking Democrat—New York's Chuck Schumer—declared that "we took the public's ...


Avik Roy: 'Fair Share?' The Typical Beneficiary Of Obama's Illegal Immigration Plan Won't Pay Net Income Taxes
Posted: November 20, 2014 at 09:46 PM (Thursday)

On Thursday evening, President Obama unveiled his plan to offer legal status to approximately 5 million undocumented aliens. "If you're willing to pay your fair share of taxes," said Obama, "you'll be able to apply to stay in this country." But the President neglected to mention that the income of the typical illegal immigrant is so low that ...


Avik Roy: Two More Gruber Videos, Obamacare Architect Boasts Of Law's 'Exploitation' Of The American Voter
Posted: November 13, 2014 at 01:57 AM (Thursday)

On Tuesday, it came out that MIT economist Jonathan Gruber—Obamacare's architect—had said that he and his Democratic colleagues had concealed the health law's true costs from the public in order to take advantage of the "stupidity of the American voter" and pass the bill. Gruber then went on MSNBC and claimed that his comments were "off the ...


Avik Roy: ACA Architect, 'The Stupidity Of The American Voter' Led Us To Hide Obamacare's True Costs From The Public
Posted: November 10, 2014 at 05:32 PM (Monday)

You've got to hand it to MIT economist Jonathan Gruber. The guy dubbed the "Obamacare architect" is a viral YouTube sensation. A few months back, he was caught on tape admitting that Obamacare doesn't provide subsidies for federally-run insurance exchanges; it's now the topic of a new case before the Supreme Court. Today, new video surfaced ...


Avik Roy: Seven Obamacare Bills That The New GOP Senate Majority Should Pass In 2015
Posted: November 5, 2014 at 02:29 AM (Wednesday)

Republicans have retaken the Senate in the 2014 midterm elections. As of this writing, Republicans will gain somewhere between 7 and 9 seats—depending on what happens in Louisiana and Alaska—for a total of 52 to 54. The new Republican majority will doubtless hold a symbolic vote to repeal Obamacare. But more importantly, Republicans will now ...


Avik Roy: Gov Kasich, Only 'Political Or Ideological' People Oppose Ohio's Medicaid Expansion
Posted: October 23, 2014 at 12:01 AM (Thursday)

Last year, Ohio governor John Kasich (R.) claimed that opponents of Obamacare's Medicaid expansion would, literally, rot in hell. This week, he claimed that it wasn't possible to be a sincere, principled critic of the Medicaid program. "The opposition to it was really either political or ideological," Kasich told the Associated Press. Kasich ...


Avik Roy: Jeanne Shaheen's Dishonest Claim That Obamacare Doesn't Cut Medicare
Posted: October 22, 2014 at 01:17 PM (Wednesday)

In last night's U.S. Senate debate in New Hampshire between incumbent Jeanne Shaheen (D.) and challenger Scott Brown (R.), Shaheen uttered a flat-out, bald-faced lie: that Obamacare doesn't cut Medicare spending to pay for its expansion of coverage to the uninsured. It's a talking point that a number of Democratic Senate candidates—and ...


Avik Roy: Mitch McConnell Is Right -- You Can Repeal Obamacare And Keep Kentucky's Insurance Exchange
Posted: October 15, 2014 at 02:15 AM (Wednesday)

The other night in a debate between Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) and his challenger, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D.), McConnell argued that it was "fine" to keep Kentucky's insurance exchange, called Kynect, while repealing Obamacare "root and branch." This has led the lefty blogosphere to explode in outrage. But Sen. McConnell ...


Avik Roy: Can Republicans Repeal Obamacare Without Disrupting Coverage For Tens Of Millions?
Posted: September 27, 2014 at 01:47 PM (Saturday)

In 2012, the conventional wisdom among conservatives and Republicans was that the presidential election of that year was of paramount importance. If Mitt Romney didn't defeat President Obama, Obamacare's trillions in health care subsidies would go online, and the law would become "impossible to repeal." That was then. Today, repeal remains ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Has Failed To Collapse -- But Its Premiums Continue To Climb
Posted: September 14, 2014 at 02:43 AM (Sunday)

Democrats are trumpeting preliminary estimates indicating that premiums on Obamacare's insurance exchanges will rise modestly, on average, in 2015. These early indications have led to a peculiar type of crowing from Obamacare supporters: "See, Obamacare isn't collapsing!" And it's true: Obamacare isn't collapsing. But in the real world, we ...


Avik Roy: As Many Predicted, Obamacare's Healthcare.Gov Reports Hack Attack; Security Remains Compromised
Posted: September 5, 2014 at 02:35 AM (Friday)

For years, experts in internet security have been warning of Obamacare's vulnerability to hackers. Given the amount of sensitive data that Obamacare requires you to disclose in order to take advantage of its various subsidies, and the incompetence of government website contractors, it was a disaster in waiting. Well, the disaster has happened. ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Is Dampening The Job Market In 3 Principal Ways
Posted: September 1, 2014 at 11:00 PM (Monday)

For most Americans, Labor Day is an opportunity to take an extra day off of work and enjoy a long weekend with family and friends. But for more than 100 million Americans, Labor Day isn't a day off from work. That's because two-fifths of the population is either unemployed, or out of the workforce altogether. The U.S. economy is still not back ...


Avik Roy: Revisions To 'Transcending Obamacare' Based On Reader Feedback
Posted: August 21, 2014 at 12:20 AM (Thursday)

Last week, I released a new health-reform plan, entitled "Transcending Obamacare: A Patient-Centered Plan for Near-Universal Coverage and Permanent Fiscal Solvency." The plan gradually replaces Obamacare and our other health-care entitlements with a set of reformed, consumer-driven health insurance exchanges. Since then, I've received some ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Or Not, Republicans Should Focus On Reducing The Cost Of Health Care
Posted: August 20, 2014 at 06:08 AM (Wednesday)

For all the endless talk about reforming the health care system these past five years, it's remarkable how little we've done to solve its actual problems.Spending hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars to subsidize insurance coverage for several million people? That's the easy part. The hard part is addressing the fact that American health ...


Avik Roy: Transcending Obamacare; An Introduction To Patient-Centered, Consumer-Driven Health Reform
Posted: August 13, 2014 at 01:45 AM (Wednesday)

Today, the Manhattan Institute is publishing my 20,000-word, 68-page health reform proposal entitled “Transcending Obamacare: A Patient-Centered Plan for Near-Universal Coverage and Permanent Fiscal Solvency.” It represents a novel approach to health reform: neither accepting Obamacare as is, nor requiring the law’s repeal to move forward. And ...


Avik Roy: 50 Years After The Civil Rights Act, Integration Remains Elusive
Posted: July 31, 2014 at 02:22 PM (Thursday)

The significance and reach of the Civil Rights Act of 1964–signed by Lyndon Johnson 50 years ago this July–goes without saying. People in 1964 could scarcely have imagined that we’d so quickly have a black President and black billionaires and a large black middle class. But midcentury Americans might also have been surprised by the persistence ...


Avik Roy: In 2012, Obamacare's Architect Agreed With 'Right-Wing' Strategy To 'Gut' Obamacare
Posted: July 25, 2014 at 12:05 AM (Friday)

Earlier this week, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia—the second highest court in the land—ruled that Obamacare’s subsidies for individually-purchased insurance could only flow through exchanges set up by state governments. Because only 16 states set up their own exchanges, some on the left are hyperventilating that ...


Avik Roy: Halbig Court Opinion, A Victory For The Rule Of Law, But Merely A Speed Bump For Obamacare
Posted: July 23, 2014 at 01:56 AM (Wednesday)

If you visited certain corners of the media yesterday—left and right—you may have read that in a case called Halbig v. Burwell, a federal court in D.C. dealt a “lethal blow” to Obamacare, by limiting the flow of the health law’s insurance subsidies. The D.C. court made the right call, based on a strict reading of the law. But the probability ...


Avik Roy: According to the Supreme Court, Corporations Have More Religious Freedom Than Taxpayers
Posted: July 1, 2014 at 12:10 AM (Tuesday)

For all of the non-stop wall-to-wall coverage of yesterday’s Supreme Court decision in Burwell v. Hobby Lobby—in which the Court ruled that the government doesn’t have the authority to force “closely-held corporations” to violate their religious beliefs—a simple fact has been lost. The ruling did not overturn a single word of the “Affordable ...


Avik Roy: For the Left, Obamacare Rate Shock Doesn't Matter, Because Other People's Money Will Pay For It
Posted: June 19, 2014 at 10:47 AM (Thursday)

Over the past twelve months, there has been an energetic debate among health policy researchers about the extent to which Obamacare will increase the underlying cost of individually-purchased health insurance: what observers have come to call “rate shock.” Yesterday, the Manhattan Institute published the most comprehensive study yet on the ...


Avik Roy: 3,137-County Analysis, Obamacare Increased 2014 Individual-Market Premiums By Average Of 49%
Posted: June 18, 2014 at 12:01 AM (Wednesday)

There are hundreds of aspects of Obamacare that people argue over. But there’s one question that matters above all others: does the Affordable Care Act live up to its name? Does it make health insurance less expensive? Last November, our team at the Manhattan Institute published a study indicating that Obamacare had increased the underlying ...


Avik Roy: A Labor Union Prepares To Strike, As Obamacare Ups Health Insurance Costs By 5.0-12.5%
Posted: May 27, 2014 at 02:39 PM (Tuesday)

Labor unions have, of course, been among President Obama’s most reliable supporters. Unions’ support was critical to the passage of Obamacare in 2010. But unions are continuing to learn, to their apparent surprise, that their members will bear many of the costs of the new health law. Now we learn that some laborers are preparing to strike, if ...


Avik Roy: No, The VA Isn't A Preview Of Obamacare -- It's Much Worse
Posted: May 23, 2014 at 07:22 AM (Friday)

There’s been a lot of talk in the conservative commentariat about how the emerging scandal at the Veterans Health Administration is a preview of what is to come under Obamacare. “If the government can’t even make such a system work for our vets, what makes anyone think it will work for the rest of us?” asks the New York Post. But the VA—our ...


Avik Roy: The Arkansas Medicaid Expansion and the 2014 Midterms
Posted: May 14, 2014 at 11:45 AM (Wednesday)

As regular NRO readers will know, one of the key races that Republicans need to win in order to retake the U.S. Senate is occurring in Arkansas, where Representative Tom Cotton is challenging Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor. The race to replace Cotton in the House of Representatives, while not nearly as consequential, is also quite ...


Avik Roy: New McKinsey Survey, 74% Of Obamacare Sign-Ups Were Previously Insured
Posted: May 10, 2014 at 07:48 AM (Saturday)

One of the principal flaws in the coverage of Obamacare’s enrollment numbers to date has been that the press has not made distinctions between those who have “signed up” for Obamacare-based plans, and those who have actually paid for those plans and thereby achieved enrollment in health insurance. A new survey from McKinsey indicates that a ...


Avik Roy: Thomas Piketty's Impoverished Debate About Inequality -- And Ours
Posted: May 8, 2014 at 09:18 AM (Thursday)

The American left has worked itself into another one of its frenzies about income inequality. This one has been triggered by a French economist named Thomas Piketty, whose new book, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, argues that capitalism “automatically generates arbitrary and unsustainable inequalities” in times like ours because “the rate ...


Avik Roy: Romneycare Improved Health Outcomes, Thanks To Private-Sector Coverage
Posted: May 7, 2014 at 02:52 PM (Wednesday)

As you may know if you’re a regular reader of The Apothecary, the left has systematically ignored the mountains of clinical evidence showing that the Medicaid program doesn’t actually make people healthier. Given that Obamacare is designed to achieve half of its coverage expansion via Medicaid, you can understand why: if Medicaid doesn’t ...


Avik Roy: Are 'Repeal and Replace' and 'Reform' for Obamacare Interchangeable?
Posted: May 1, 2014 at 08:30 PM (Thursday)

Ramesh is kind enough to cite a recent piece of mine for Forbes, describing it as a continuation of my “lonely campaign to get conservatives to drop the idea of ‘repealing and replacing’ Obamacare and instead to embrace reforming it.” But it’s only lonely if by lonely he means “shared by a large plurality of the electorate.”Let me cite the data. ...


Avik Roy: House Republican Leaders Finally State The Obvious, Obamacare Isn't Going Anywhere
Posted: April 29, 2014 at 08:45 AM (Tuesday)

For years, we’ve heard Republicans claim that they want to “repeal and replace” Obamacare with a better set of reforms. (What those reforms would exactly be, nobody can say for sure.) But there was always one critical problem with the “repeal and replace” plan: it stands no chance of passage until at least 2017. By then, as many as 35 ...


Avik Roy: RAND Comes Clean, Obamacare's Exchanges Enrolled Only 1.4 Million Previously Uninsured Individuals
Posted: April 9, 2014 at 12:16 AM (Wednesday)

Last week, I wrote about an article in the Los Angeles Times, on a then-as-yet unpublished report from the RAND Corporation, indicating that only one-third of Obamacare’s purported 7.1 million exchange sign-ups were from the previously uninsured. But Noam Levey, the author of the Times article, didn’t disclose RAND’s actual findings as to ...


Avik Roy: Census Data Since 2008, There's Been No Net Change In The Proportion of Young Adults With Health Coverage
Posted: April 3, 2014 at 01:50 AM (Thursday)

It has been one of Democrats’ favorite talking points: that thanks to Obamacare’s mandate that family-based insurance coverage cover “adult children” aged 18 to 26, “an additional 3 million young adults have gained coverage.” There’s only one problem. That figure is based on a misleading and superficial study by the Obama administration. ...


Avik Roy: RAND, Only One-Third Of Obamacare Exchange Sign-Ups Were From The Previously Uninsured
Posted: March 31, 2014 at 12:28 PM (Monday)

Today is March 31, 2014: in theory, the last day you can sign up for coverage under the subsidized Obamacare insurance exchanges. If you’ve been a regular reader of this space, you know that the numbers routinely paraded by the Obama administration regarding Obamacare website sign-ups don’t tell us much about the actual number of ...


Avik Roy: White House Announces 6 Million Obamacare 'Sign-Ups,' But Number of Uninsured Enrollees Remains A Mystery
Posted: March 27, 2014 at 03:12 PM (Thursday)

Earlier today, Marilyn Tavenner of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced that “more than 6 million Americans have signed up for coverage through the Health Insurance Marketplaces since October 1, thanks to the Affordable Care Act.” Given all of the technical problems that dogged healthcare.gov last October, this is an ...


Avik Roy: Crimea Shows Us That Global Economic Integration Can Be A Source Of Weakness
Posted: March 26, 2014 at 06:00 AM (Wednesday)

In 2012 the European Union was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. What was once the European Coal & Steel Community, the committee wrote, had evolved into a “successful struggle for peace, reconciliation and for democracy and human rights.” There’s much to be said for the thought that Europe’s economic integration has led to lasting peace. But ...


Avik Roy: Surprise! White House To Delay 'Firm' Obamacare Enrollment Deadline Past March 31
Posted: March 25, 2014 at 11:17 PM (Tuesday)

Though the Obama administration repeatedly insisted that its March 31 enrollment deadline for Obamacare’s first year was “firm,” many observers predicted that the administration would combat lagging sales of health law-sponsored insurance plans by extending that deadline. Sure enough, on Tuesday night the White House indicated that it would ...


Avik Roy: 4 Reasons Why Obamacare Exchange Premiums May 'Double In Some Parts Of The Country' In 2015
Posted: March 20, 2014 at 07:27 AM (Thursday)

As we reach the end of the first year of enrollment in Obamacare’s subsidized health insurance exchanges, we’ve been trying to solve a couple of mysteries. First: how many people who have signed up for coverage were previously uninsured? Second: will the botched rollout and design flaws lead to even higher health insurance costs next year? ...


Avik Roy: Justice Dept, At Least 35% Of People Eligible For Obamacare's Medicaid Expansion Are Ex-Convicts
Posted: March 11, 2014 at 02:22 AM (Tuesday)

If you listen to the President, and other supporters of Obamacare, you might get the impression that the reason why tens of millions of Americans go without health insurance is because these people have pre-existing conditions, and health insurers are too mean to cover them. The truth is quite different. Less than a million Americans lack ...


Avik Roy: McKinsey, Only 14% Of Obamacare Exchange Sign-Ups Are Previously Uninsured Enrollees
Posted: March 8, 2014 at 02:00 AM (Saturday)

The Obama administration has, for months now, been peddling nice-sounding numbers as to how many people are gaining health coverage due to Obamacare. But their numbers have been inflated on two fronts. First, not everyone who has “selected a marketplace plan” under Obamacare has actually paid the required premiums, payment being required ...


Avik Roy: The Next Shoe To Drop: Obamacare Will Increase The Cost Of Employer-Sponsored Insurance
Posted: February 25, 2014 at 10:22 AM (Tuesday)

Yesterday, the Obama Administration’s Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services released a six-page report predicting that Obamacare could cause premiums to increase for nearly two-thirds of small- to medium-sized businesses. “This results in roughly 11 million individuals whose premiums are estimated to be higher as a result of the ACA and ...


Avik Roy: Refocus Conservatism Around Economic Mobility
Posted: February 22, 2014 at 05:33 PM (Saturday)

The other day White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said something that can, and should, define the debate between conservatism and progressivism for years to come. The Congressional Budget Office had published a report estimating that ObamaCare would shrink the size of the U.S. labor force by 2.5 million full-time-equivalent workers. ...


Avik Roy: Not Too Long Ago, The New York Times Sought To Abolish The Minimum Wage
Posted: February 19, 2014 at 11:35 PM (Wednesday)

Left-wing Washington—led by labor unions—is once again full of zeal to raise the federal minimum wage. It turns out that some of the best arguments against raising the minimum wage come from an unlikely source: the editors of the New York Times, who a generation ago editorialized in favor of abolishing the minimum wage. “Raising the minimum ...


Avik Roy: Sorry, Conservatives; Based On The Latest Sign-Up Figures, There Won't Be An Obamacare Death Spiral
Posted: February 12, 2014 at 10:56 PM (Wednesday)

For quite some time now, a cohort of conservative pundits and politicians has confidently predicted that Obamacare will “collapse under its own weight.” But the latest sign-up numbers from the Obama administration tell a different story. While fewer people than projected are signing up for Obamacare-based insurance, the numbers aren’t so far ...


Avik Roy: Well, Never Mind Then To 'Ease The Transition To A 30-Hour Week,' Obamacare Employer Mandate Delayed Again
Posted: February 10, 2014 at 11:42 PM (Monday)

Last July, just before the Independence Day holiday, the White House quietly announced that it was delaying Obamacare’s employer mandate—the law’s requirement that medium and large businesses sponsor health insurance for every worker—until 2015. It turned out to be the first of dozens of unilateral decisions by the Obama administration to ...


Avik Roy: White House; It's A Good Thing That Obamacare Will Drive 2.5 Million Americans Out Of The Workforce
Posted: February 5, 2014 at 02:04 AM (Wednesday)

Yesterday, Washington’s official non-partisan bean-counter, the Congressional Budget Office, dropped a bomb. By 2024, says the CBO, Obamacare will reduce the size of the U.S. labor force by 2.5 million full-time-equivalent workers. That’s roughly triple what the CBO had estimated three years ago. Such a sizeable decline in the labor force ...


Avik Roy: So It Turns Out That The Senate Republican Plan To Replace Obamacare Raises Taxes -- And That's A Good Thing
Posted: January 31, 2014 at 02:44 PM (Friday)

When Republican senators Tom Coburn (Okla.), Richard Burr (N.C.), and Orrin Hatch (Utah) proposed on Monday a plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, I called it “the most credible plan yet” devised to achieve that goal. On Thursday, a new think tank called the Center for Health and Economy provided a fiscal score of the plan. The good news? ...


Avik Roy: Senate Republicans Develop The Most Credible Plan Yet To 'Repeal And Replace'
Posted: January 27, 2014 at 01:00 PM (Monday)

“Repealing and replacing” Obamacare with market-oriented reforms has been the Republican mantra for years now. If you’re a long-time follower of this space, you know that we’re skeptical that Obamacare will ever be repealed, GOP slogans to the contrary. Today, however, a trio of experienced Senate Republicans—Tom Coburn (Okla.), Richard ...


Avik Roy: Coverage Expansion Fail, Less Than One-Third Of Obamacare Exchange Enrollees Were Previously Uninsured
Posted: January 18, 2014 at 08:12 AM (Saturday)

At the end of the day, for all of the rhetoric and promises about what Obamacare would achieve, the health law’s most ardent supporters have stuck to their guns because of one thing: coverage expansion. But new data suggests that Obamacare may fail even to achieve this goal. Instead of expanding coverage to those without it, Obamacare is ...


Avik Roy: A conservative case for universal coverage
Posted: January 17, 2014 at 11:41 AM (Friday)

PYRRHIC VINDICATION FEELS PRETTY DAMN GOOD. As Obamacare's problems continue to mount, conservative morale has improved. For example, in 2008, despite vigorous objections from the right, PolitiFact rated as “true” then-Sen. Barack Obama's promise that his health plan would allow Americans the choice to keep their existing health coverage. ...


Avik Roy: Adverse Selection, Obamacare Exchange Enrollment Skews Much Older Than U.S. Population; Cost Increases Likely
Posted: January 13, 2014 at 07:13 PM (Monday)

It’s been the top concern since the Obamacare bill was written. Would healthier and younger people sign up for Obamacare-based insurance, despite the fact that the law forces those individuals to pay far more for health insurance than they otherwise need? If healthy people stay away, the cost of health insurance under Obamacare will increase ...


Avik Roy: Humana Obamacare Exchange Enrollment 'More Adverse Than Previously Expected'
Posted: January 10, 2014 at 04:56 PM (Friday)

On January 9, health insurance bellwether Humana formally announced something that industry observers have long suspected: that healthy and young people don’t think Obamacare’s insurance plans are a good deal for them. Those people, Humana indicated, are choosing to stay on their previous health plans, where allowed, instead of participating ...


Avik Roy: Can A Wisconsin Senator And A Superstar Lawyer Prevent Members Of Congress From Gaining Subsidized Health Insurance Under Obamacare?
Posted: January 10, 2014 at 02:15 PM (Friday)

This week, Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson (R.) filed a lawsuit aimed at preventing members of Congress, and their staffers, from receiving subsidized health insurance through Obamacare’s exchanges. “Americans are justifiably outraged when members of Congress exempt themselves from the very laws they impose on everyone else,” says. Johnson. ...


Avik Roy: New Oregon Data, Expanding Medicaid Increases Usage Of Emergency Rooms, Undermining Central Rationale For Obamacare
Posted: January 2, 2014 at 02:30 PM (Thursday)

For years, it has been the number one talking point of Obamacare supporters. People who are uninsured end up getting costly care from hospitals’ emergency rooms. “Those of us with health insurance are also paying a hidden and growing tax for those without it—about $1,000 per year that pays for the uninsureds’ emergency room and charitable ...


Avik Roy: The Apothecary's 2013 Year In Review
Posted: December 31, 2013 at 02:18 PM (Tuesday)

2012 was a Presidential election year, in which health care policy was front-and-center. We figured 2013 would revert back to normal, and we at The Apothecary wouldn’t match our 2012 traffic. Boy, were we wrong. As Obamacare moved from theory to reality, Americans were looking for real-world information on how the law would affect them. And ...


Avik Roy: How Many Healthy People Are Signing Up For Obamacare? The White House Won't Say
Posted: December 30, 2013 at 02:51 AM (Monday)

On Sunday, the Obama administration announced that a total of 1.1 million Americans have signed up for health insurance coverage on Obamacare’s federally-run exchange at Healthcare.gov. While that number falls well short of the administration’s previous expectations of 3.3 million, it is a big step up; as of the end of November, only ...


Avik Roy: In 2008, PolitiFact Rated 'True' Obamacare's Promise That You Could Keep Your Plan; In 2013, They Call It 'Lie Of The Year'
Posted: December 27, 2013 at 02:08 PM (Friday)

On December 12, the self-appointed guardians of truth and justice at PolitiFact named President Obama’s infamous promise—that “if you like your health care plan, you can keep it”—its 2013 “Lie of the Year.” An understandable choice. But in its article detailing why the President’s promise was a lie, PolitiFact neglected to mention an ...


Avik Roy: Utter Chaos, White House Exempts Millions From Obamacare's Insurance Mandate, 'Unaffordable' Exchanges
Posted: December 20, 2013 at 06:20 AM (Friday)

It’s hard to come up with new ways to describe the Obama administration’s improvisational approach to the Affordable Care Act’s troubled health insurance exchanges. But last night, the White House made its most consequential announcement yet. The administration will grant a “hardship exemption” from the law’s individual mandate, requiring ...


Avik Roy: Government Takeover, White House Forces Obamacare Insurers To Cover Unpaid Patients At A Loss
Posted: December 14, 2013 at 07:42 PM (Saturday)

Of all of the last-minute delays, website bungles, and Presidential whims that have marred the roll-out of Obamacare’s subsidized insurance exchanges, what happened on Thursday, December 12 will stand as one of the most lawless acts yet committed by this administration. The White House—having canceled Americans’ old health plans, and ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Exchanges Claim 258,497 Sign-Ups In November, But No Word On How Many Are Actually Enrolled
Posted: December 11, 2013 at 11:47 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services reported today that Obamacare’s subsidized health insurance exchanges signed up 258,497 Americans in November. That’s about two-and-a-half times the number that they signed up in October, roughly in-line with expectations. While these numbers fall well short of the administration’s ...


Avik Roy: The Irony Is That Obama's 'Like Your Plan' Fiasco Will Make It Difficult To Repeal Obamacare
Posted: December 9, 2013 at 12:15 AM (Monday)

President Obama’s credibility has taken a significant hit since it became clear to the public that his signature promise—that “if you like your plan, you can keep your plan”—turned out to be dishonest. Polls now suggest a realistic chance that Republicans can retake the Senate in the 2014 mid-term elections. But the irony is that the GOP, ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare's Website Won't Be Working By November 30 -- But What If It Isn't Working By November 2014?
Posted: November 30, 2013 at 10:42 AM (Saturday)

When President Obama appointed Jeffrey Zients to take over the troubled Healthcare.gov Obamacare website, Zients made a promise: “By the end of November, Healthcare.gov will work smoothly for the vast majority of users,” he said. We’re now at the end of November, and it’s pretty clear that the Obama administration will miss its ...


Avik Roy: Medicare Deputy CIO, Somewhere Between '30-40%' Of Obamacare's Exchange Software Has Not Yet Been Built
Posted: November 19, 2013 at 02:56 PM (Tuesday)

If you’ve been following these pages, you’ve come to know a bit about Henry Chao, deputy chief information officer at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Chao has played a key role in overseeing the construction of Obamacare’s federal insurance exchange. In March, Chao expressed concern that the launch of the exchanges would be ...


Avik Roy: Do You Like Your Doctor? Obamacare Drives UnitedHealth To Downsize Its Medicare Physician Networks
Posted: November 18, 2013 at 12:10 AM (Monday)

Over the past two weeks, there’s been a lot of coverage of the President’s misleading promise that “If you like your plan, you can keep your plan. No matter what. Period.” But we mustn’t forget that there was a second part to that promise: “If you like your doctor, you will be keep your doctor. Period.” It turns out that isn’t necessarily ...


Avik Roy: Obama to Nation; If You Like Your Plan, You Can Keep Your Plan (At Least Until The Next Election)
Posted: November 15, 2013 at 06:37 AM (Friday)

Yesterday, President Obama announced that his administration would unilaterally decline to enforce the provisions of Obamacare responsible for millions of insurance policy cancellations around the country. “The bottom line is insurers can extend current plans that would otherwise be canceled into 2014,” he said. The real bottom line is this. ...


Avik Roy: Did The Obama Administration Try To Hide A Key Memo Detailing 'Limitless' Privacy Risks To Obamacare's Website?
Posted: November 12, 2013 at 11:16 PM (Tuesday)

One of the most underappreciated, but important, problems with Obamacare’s troubled health insurance exchanges are their inadequate safeguards against identity theft and misuse of private information. We’ve now learned that an important government report detailing “high risks” to the security of the Obamacare website was concealed from a ...


Avik Roy: The Obamacare Exchange Scorecard: Around 100,000 Enrollees And Five Million Cancellations
Posted: November 12, 2013 at 01:26 AM (Tuesday)

In the market for individually-purchased health insurance, more than 4.8 million Americans have received notices that their preexisting plans are soon to be illegal, and will be cancelled. Many more cancellation notices are imminent. But yesterday, the Wall Street Journal obtained information regarding the number of people who have signed up ...


Avik Roy: Fact-Checking The President's Kind-Of Sort-Of 'Apology' For Obamacare-Driven Insurance Cancellations
Posted: November 8, 2013 at 06:04 AM (Friday)

Yesterday, in an interview with NBC’s Chuck Todd, President Obama addressed the problems caused by his incessantly-repeated pledge to the American public that “if you like your health care plan, you’ll be able to keep your health care plan, period. No one will take it away, no matter what.” As millions of Americans receive cancellation letters ...


Avik Roy: 49-State Analysis, Obamacare To Increase Individual-Market Premiums By Avg. Of 41%
Posted: November 4, 2013 at 05:00 AM (Monday)

One of the fundamental flaws of the Affordable Care Act is that, despite its name, it makes health insurance more expensive. Today, the Manhattan Institute released the most comprehensive analysis yet conducted of premiums under Obamacare for people who shop for coverage on their own. Here’s what we learned. In the average state, Obamacare ...


Avik Roy: The Truth Comes Out: Obamacare's Website Enrolled A Grand Total Of Six People On Oct. 1
Posted: November 1, 2013 at 01:34 PM (Friday)

There’s been a lot of spin coming out of the White House regarding the botched launch of Obamacare’s health insurance exchanges. When it was clear that people were having problems with the healthcare.gov website on its launch day, October 1, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius called it a “great problem to have.” The ...


Avik Roy: Obama Officials In 2010: 93 Million Americans Will Be Unable To Keep Their Health Plans Under Obamacare
Posted: October 31, 2013 at 03:33 AM (Thursday)

On Wednesday, Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius testified before Congress about the continuing issues with the rollout of Obamacare’s health insurance exchanges. “Hold me accountable for the debacle,” said Sebelius. “I’m responsible.” I attended the hearing, and I was struck by the scope, scale, and depth of the health ...


Avik Roy: After Insurance Industry Pow-Wow, White House Delays Obamacare's Individual Mandate By Six Weeks
Posted: October 24, 2013 at 05:09 AM (Thursday)

Yesterday afternoon, chief executives of 12 major health insurers—including Aetna, Humana, WellPoint, and Kaiser Permanente—trudged to the White House to “discuss…ongoing implementation of the Affordable Care Act.” The meeting was off the record, but we have a pretty good idea of what happened. Insurers were likely to urge the White House to ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare's Website Is Crashing Because It Doesn't Want You To Know How Costly Its Plans Are
Posted: October 14, 2013 at 11:39 AM (Monday)

A growing consensus of IT experts, outside and inside the government, have figured out a principal reason why the website for Obamacare’s federally-sponsored insurance exchange is crashing. Healthcare.gov forces you to create an account and enter detailed personal information before you can start shopping. This, in turn, creates a massive ...


Avik Roy: Three Key Questions For Obamacare's Rollout
Posted: October 9, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

President Obama’s signature health law achieved a major milestone on Oct. 1, when its subsidized insurance exchanges went online. But Obamacare is already reshaping the health insurance landscape. If you want to track how well the law is working, keep an eye on three aspects of it.

Is it driving up the cost of insurance?

According to ...


Avik Roy: Enrollment In Obamacare's Federal Exchange, So Far, May Only Be In 'Single Digits'
Posted: October 3, 2013 at 12:20 PM (Thursday)

On October 1, the debut of the Affordable Care Act's subsidized insurance exchanges, many visitors saw a graphic informing them that the web site was not accessible.

On October 1, Obamacare’s subsidized insurance exchanges went live. Most of the exchange websites crashed on the first day, a development that led some of the law’s supporters to conclude that there was overwhelming demand for Obamacare’s insurance products. But the Obama ...


Avik Roy: Only One-Third Of Americans Support Repealing, Defunding Or Delaying Obamacare
Posted: September 30, 2013 at 12:45 AM (Monday)

Polls consistently show that Americans aren’t happy with Obamacare. They think the law will make health care more expensive, and decrease its quality. But a new survey of 1,976 registered voters finds that only 33 percent believe that the health law should be repealed, delayed, or defunded. 29 percent believe that “Congress should make changes ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Will Increase Avg. Individual-Market Insurance Premiums By 99% For Men, 62% For Women
Posted: September 25, 2013 at 04:00 AM (Wednesday)

For months now, we’ve been waiting to hear how much Obamacare will drive up the cost of health insurance for people who purchase coverage on their own. Last night, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services finally began to provide some data on how Americans will fare on Obamacare’s federally-sponsored insurance exchanges. HHS’ press ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Bends the Cost Curve — Upward
Posted: September 24, 2013 at 08:52 AM (Tuesday)

Back in 2008, three eminent Harvard economists who were advising the Obama campaign—David Cutler, David Blumenthal, and Jeffrey Liebman—wrote a memo claiming that Senator Obama’s health-care plan could reduce national health spending by $200 billion a year. As Kevin Sack recounted in the New York Times, the authors of that memo then took ...


Avik Roy: Not Affordable Care Act
Posted: September 23, 2013 at 08:52 PM (Monday)

In most states, premiums will increase. Imagine that Congress passed a law requiring all cars sold in America to use hybrid engines. If you're concerned about our consumption of fossil fuels, such a law might sound great. However, as anyone who has shopped for a car knows, hybrid cars are much more expensive than ...


Avik Roy: Myths of the Obamacare Shutdown Soap Opera
Posted: September 20, 2013 at 05:16 PM (Friday)

There are a number of misperceptions of the internecine dispute taking place among conservatives, and within the Republican Party, around the effort by some to use the continuing resolution and the possibility of a government shutdown, to attempt to defund Obamacare.

Myth #1: The debate pits the conservative movement against the Republican congressional leadership. Some of the coverage of the debate states or implies, incorrectly, that conservatives are united behind the shutdown strategy, and GOP leaders like John Boehner are the locus ...


Avik Roy: Myths of the Obamacare Shutdown Soap Opera
Posted: September 20, 2013 at 05:16 PM (Friday)

There are a number of misperceptions of the internecine dispute taking place among conservatives, and within the Republican Party, around the effort by some to use the continuing resolution and the possibility of a government shutdown, to attempt to defund Obamacare.

Myth #1: The debate pits the conservative movement against the Republican congressional leadership. Some of the coverage of the debate states or implies, incorrectly, that conservatives are united behind the shutdown strategy, and GOP leaders like John Boehner are the locus ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare Software Can't 'Reliably Determine' Enrollees' Eligibility For Subsidies
Posted: September 20, 2013 at 09:17 AM (Friday)

The centerpiece of President Obama’s new health law is a collection of government-sponsored insurance exchanges, in which people who shop for coverage on their own can purchase health insurance, and gain a taxpayer-funded subsidy if their income is low enough. The exchanges are set to roll out on October 1, in less than two weeks. In other ...


Avik Roy: The Obamacare Defeatists
Posted: September 16, 2013 at 04:00 AM (Monday)

The entitlement-reform movement will continue to grow even if Obamacare remains law. A long time ago (2011) in a galaxy far, far away (Washington, D.C.), South Carolina senator Jim DeMint voted for a continuing resolution that would fund the government, including Obamacare. Today, Heritage Foundation president Jim DeMint says that any attempt ...


Avik Roy: Behind The Scenes Of Obama's Effort To Prevent The AFL-CIO From Resolving To Repeal Obamacare
Posted: September 16, 2013 at 12:01 AM (Monday)

On Saturday, I wrote about the White House’s decision to reject labor unions’ demands to alter Obamacare such that certain union members with health benefits could qualify for subsidies intended for the uninsured. One of the most interesting aspects of this story is what happened behind the scenes. Some unions were agitating for the AFL-CIO ...


Avik Roy: Obama To Labor Unions With Multi-Employer Health Plans, Drop Dead
Posted: September 14, 2013 at 08:59 AM (Saturday)

Well played, Mr. President. Last week, prior to the big AFL-CIO convention in Los Angeles, President Obama personally spoke to AFL-CIO chief Richard Trumka, asking him to water down several anti-Obamacare resolutions that union leaders were planning to pass there. Trumka obliged, keeping a call to repeal Obamacare out of the official ...


Avik Roy: Labor Leader: Obamacare 'Needs To Be Repealed' If Union Demands Aren't Met
Posted: September 12, 2013 at 11:52 AM (Thursday)

This week, in Los Angeles, leaders of the nation’s labor union movement gathered together for the AFL-CIO’s annual convention. Along with the usual sessions on ‘political action,’ ‘solidarity’ and the like, union leaders shared their concerns about the impact of Obamacare on union-sponsored health insurance plans. Terence O’Sullivan, president ...


Avik Roy: No, It's Not 'Complicated'; Obamacare Increases Premiums for Most People
Posted: September 5, 2013 at 02:12 PM (Thursday)

Liberal reporters and bloggers are trumpeting today a report from the Kaiser Family Foundation which claims that premiums under Obamacare will be “lower than expected.” Talking Points Memo describes the Kaiser paper as, potentially, a “big blow to one of the main conservative talking points against the Affordable Care Act: ...


Avik Roy: Interactive Map, In 13 States Plus D.C., Obamacare Will Increase Health Premiums By 24% On Average
Posted: September 4, 2013 at 12:01 AM (Wednesday)

Obamacare makes many significant changes to the U.S. health-care system, but one category of change stands out above all others: the degree to which the law reshapes the market for individually-purchased health insurance. Will the “Affordable Care Act” live up to its name and make health insurance less expensive? To help the public understand ...


Avik Roy: White House Considers Awarding Obamacare Subsidies, Intended For The Uninsured, To Labor Unions
Posted: August 30, 2013 at 07:59 AM (Friday)

A few weeks ago, I discussed the fact that labor unions have been increasingly vocal about their objections to certain provisions of the Affordable Care Act. Obamacare will “shatter not only our hard-earned health benefits, but destroy the foundation of the 40 hour work week that is the backbone of the American middle class,” wrote three ...


Avik Roy: White House Publishes Final Regulations For Obamacare's Individual Mandate
Posted: August 28, 2013 at 01:08 AM (Wednesday)

On Tuesday, the Obama administration released the final regulations for Obamacare’s notorious individual mandate—the provision in the health care law that requires most Americans to purchase health insurance, or pay a fine. Tuesday’s entry in the Federal Register, spanning 75 pages, contains all of the fine print related to the individual ...


Avik Roy: If New Hampshire Expands Medicaid, State Hospitals Will Lose Hundreds of Millions of Dollars
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 12:01 AM (Tuesday)

In states that remain undecided about whether or not to expand Medicaid, as Obamacare prescribes, hospitals have lobbied furiously in expansion’s favor. That’s not surprising, on its face; hospital executives’ eyes widen at the possibility of hundreds of billions in additional taxpayer subsidies under the law. But an analysis from the Lewin ...


Avik Roy: Delta Air Lines Next Year, Our Health Care Costs Will Increase By 'Nearly $100 Million'
Posted: August 22, 2013 at 03:48 PM (Thursday)

We know that Obamacare will significantly increase the cost of individually-purchased health insurance in nearly every part of the country. But we’ve generally assumed that disruptions in the market for employer-sponsored health insurance will be less severe. In particular, large employers who self-insure should be exempt from most of ...


Avik Roy: Obama Administration Has Missed Half Of Obamacare's Legally Imposed Implementation Deadlines
Posted: August 18, 2013 at 11:32 PM (Sunday)

In recent months, President Obama and his subordinates have waived or delayed a number of Obamacare’s notable features, such as the law’s employer mandate, and its procedures for protecting taxpayers from fraud and identity theft. Earlier this month, in that context, I obtained a heretofore-unpublished memorandum from the Congressional ...


Avik Roy: Obamacare's Shutdown Shock-Jocks
Posted: August 14, 2013 at 04:00 AM (Wednesday)

Ted Cruz and Mike Lee have a plan — to make Obamacare permanent. Senators Ted Cruz and Mike Lee, among others, believe that Republicans ought to use Congress’s continuing resolution (CR) as an opportunity to defund Obamacare. The CR must be passed by Congress in order to keep funding the government. Cruz, Lee & Co. think Democrats will be ...


Avik Roy: Yet Another White House Obamacare Delay, Out-Of-Pocket Caps Waived Until 2015
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 12:59 AM (Tuesday)

First, there was the delay of Obamacare’s Medicare cuts until after the election. Then there was the delay of the law’s employer mandate. Then there was the announcement, buried in the Federal Register, that the administration would delay enforcement of a number of key eligibility requirements for the law’s health insurance subsidies, relying ...


Avik Roy: Sen. Reid says Obamacare 'Absolutely' A Step Toward A Single-Payer System
Posted: August 10, 2013 at 12:00 PM (Saturday)

When I speak to conservatives about health care policy, I’m often asked the question: “Do you think that Obamacare is secretly a step toward single-payer health care?” I always explain that, while progressives may want single-payer, I don’t think that Obamacare is deliberately designed to bring about that outcome. Well, yesterday on PBS’ ...


Avik Roy: HHS IG, Obamacare Privacy Protections Way Behind Schedule; Rampant Violations Of Law Possible
Posted: August 7, 2013 at 01:22 AM (Wednesday)

It hasn’t been a dull summer for Obamacare news. But there’s been one important issue that has been burbling under the surface, one that hasn’t garnered as much attention as rate shock, subsidy fraud, and the like. It’s this: In order for Obamacare to work, the government will need to know a lot about your financial, medical, and ...


Avik Roy: Labor Unions' Latest Problem: Obamacare's 'Cadillac Tax' Harms Their Gold-Plated Health Insurance Plans
Posted: August 6, 2013 at 01:05 AM (Tuesday)

Last month, we discussed the stunning turnabout from leaders of prominent labor unions, who stated that “unintended consequences” from Obamacare were “causing nightmare scenarios” that would “shatter not only our hard-earned health benefits, but destroy the foundation of the 40 hour work week that is the backbone of the American middle class.” ...


Avik Roy: Congressmen Rejoice! Govt. To Subsidize Their Health Insurance Through Obamacare's Exchanges
Posted: August 2, 2013 at 10:07 AM (Friday)

All over the country, people are worried about how Obamacare will affect the cost and quality of their health coverage. Members of Congress and their staffs were especially panicked, because it appeared that the Affordable Care Act required them to purchase coverage on the law’s new insurance exchanges, but without the generous subsidy ...


Avik Roy: GOP Divides On Whether To Shut Down The Government Over Obamacare Funding
Posted: July 29, 2013 at 12:01 AM (Monday)

Last week, Utah Sen. Mike Lee (R.) sent a letter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.), “informing Senator Reid that we will not vote for a continuing resolution that funds Obamacare,” risking a government shutdown if Lee’s objectives are not achieved. While eleven other Senate Republicans have signed on to Lee’s letter, ...


Avik Roy: The NY Times Tries -- And Fails -- To Protect Obamacare From Health Insurance 'Rate Shock'
Posted: July 18, 2013 at 04:11 AM (Thursday)

Yesterday, fans of Obamacare were cheering. A front-page story in the New York Times announced that individuals shopping for health insurance in New York would see their premiums halved, based on figures released by the Cuomo administration. It was an “extraordinary decline” that “demonstrates the profound promise” of Obamacare, said one ...


Avik Roy: Labor Unions - Obamacare Will 'Shatter' Our Health Benefits, Cause 'Nightmare Scenarios'
Posted: July 15, 2013 at 10:12 AM (Monday)

Labor unions are among the key institutions responsible for the passage of Obamacare. They spent tons of money electing Democrats to Congress in 2006 and 2008, and fought hard to push the health law through the legislature in 2009 and 2010. But now, unions are waking up to the fact that Obamacare is heavily disruptive to the health benefits ...


Avik Roy: Far-Reaching Implications of Obamacare Delay of Employer Mandate
Posted: July 3, 2013 at 10:02 AM (Wednesday)

I thought I would share the key points from my detailed blog post yesterday at Forbes. First, the decision by the Obama administration will have a useful policy impact — it will lead fewer employers to sponsor health coverage, leading more people to shop for it on their own. This is something that free-market health wonks have long ...


Avik Roy: Romney's Revenge
Posted: June 18, 2013 at 04:00 AM (Tuesday)

During the 2012 presidential campaign, Mitt Romney maintained that the health-reform law he signed in Massachusetts was not the same as Obamacare. “Our plan was a state solution to a state problem,” Governor Romney insisted. He was trying to fix Massachusetts’ uniquely broken insurance market, he said; Obamacare, by contrast, was a “a power grab ...


Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Avik Roy: The future of free-market healthcare
Posted: February 20, 2013 at 09:00 PM (Wednesday)

Over nearly a century, progressives have pressed for a national, single-payer healthcare system. When it comes to health reform, what have conservatives stood for?

For far too long, conservatives have failed to coalesce around a long-term vision of what a free-market healthcare system should look like. Republican attention to healthcare, in turn, has only arisen sporadically, in response to Democratic initiatives. ...

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