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| Daniel Craviotto |
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| Danielle DiMartino Booth |
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| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Mortgage Refinancing Boom Is Too Automated Posted: September 25, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Friday)Computer-driven appraisals are an innovation that nobody needs right now. The Covid-19 pandemic has unleashed numerous unexpected economic consequences. One that has turned out to be good for the economy but could end up being disastrous is the boom in mortgage refinancings. Just like with the last financial crisis, there are signs that the ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Scars Inflicted on Travel Are Looking Permanent Posted: August 9, 2020 at 08:00 AM (Sunday)Companies are shifting away from massive expense accounts and the experiential lifestyle has become a memory. Prior to the pandemic, the wealthy never traveled so well. With the economy on solid ground and financial assets soaring to new highs, investment in the travel industry boomed. According to the World Travel and Tourism Council, one in ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Mortgage Market Sends Wrong Message Posted: June 17, 2020 at 12:00 PM (Wednesday)Applications for loans to buy homes may be surging, but the availability of such credit is tumbling. The Covid-19 pandemic arrested the plans of millions of Americans to purchase a home. But what if you lock someone down in a home they had already mentally moved out of? Might they pour their energy into touring homes online to produce a short ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Another U.S.-Wide Housing Slump Is Coming Posted: April 10, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Friday)The coronavirus pandemic will cause many cash-strapped Americans to sell their homes, flooding the market with excess supply. A U.S. housing crisis is coming and although it won't be anything like the last one, that won’t make it any less painful. Even though there has been no rampant speculation or subprime mortgage fraud, housing is ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed Can't Let Bond Yields Fall to Zero Posted: March 10, 2020 at 12:00 PM (Tuesday)Ultra-low rates on benchmark government debt would have negative consequences for the global financial system. The Federal Reserve has a lot to worry about these days. And while it's not often mentioned, at the top of the list should be preventing rates on longer term U.S. Treasuries, the world’s risk-free benchmark securities, from falling ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Federal Reserve Faces a Housing Conundrum Posted: February 6, 2020 at 08:00 AM (Thursday)Artificially repressed interest rates have perverted what was once a market driven by supply and demand. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may have a problem on his hands. Buoyed by three interest-rate cuts, not only did the U.S. housing market stand as a pillar of economic support in 2019, it largely offset the protracted slowdown in ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Can the Fed Slowly Deflate the Credit Bubble? Posted: November 27, 2019 at 06:00 AM (Wednesday)Historically reactive, the central bank is finally trying to get ahead of a potential crisis. This time a year ago, the federal funds target rate was 2.25% and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was intent on raising it to 3% while continuing to shrink the size of the central bank's balance sheet. The massive disruption in the credit ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Housing Market's Rebound Is No Mirage Posted: October 10, 2019 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)Real estate can be a lagging indicator, but recent reports suggest t will continue to underpin the U.S. economy. One place where the Federal Reserve's “mid-cycle adjustment” is playing out according to script is in the housing market, which at 15% is the single-largest contributor to the U.S. economy. Housing is the most ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Lower Mortgage Rates Aren't Boosting U.S. Housing Posted: August 12, 2019 at 06:00 AM (Monday)The residential real estate market is less affordable now than anytime since before the financial crisis. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is facing a housing conundrum. The market is in the midst of a 15-month slump, with home price gains and sales having slowed dramatically and permits to build new dwellings slumping by 6.6% to the ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth:The Fed Can't Help Housing or Autos at This Point Posted: June 6, 2019 at 09:00 AM (Thursday)These key sectors are already in decline, and lower interest rates won’t stop that trend. Hopes are running high that potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will support the auto and housing sectors, two parts of the economy that are sensitive to borrowing costs. The risk, though, is rising that any relief won’t come until ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Mighty U.S. Consumer Is Struggling Posted: May 8, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)Recent spending patterns combined with credit-card losses reveal some disturbing trends. It’s no secret the U.S. economy keys off consumption. On that count, it’s beginning to look less and less like an expanding economy. Whether it’s the internals of the first-quarter GDP report or the source of March personal spending, the trend is not ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Economy Is Unprepared for a Drop in Tax Refunds Posted: April 12, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Friday)Don’t underestimate the negative impact of declining tax refunds on households. Recent headlines touting a budding rebound in U.S. car sales should not be celebrated. The much lauded 17.5-million-unit figure reported for March auto sales was actually buoyed by fleet sales, which rose to a two-year high. Retail auto sales – a pure reflection ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Federal Reserve's Failures Are Mounting Posted: March 12, 2019 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)In the decade between “60 Minutes” interviews, the central bank has sparked a recovery without inflation but not much else. Friday marks the 10-year anniversary of the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's groundbreaking “60 Minutes” interview. To listen to current Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on the same show a decade later, the ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: How to Identify a Bear Market Rally Posted: February 24, 2019 at 08:00 AM (Sunday)History is replete with examples of major stock market recoveries following big sell-offs, many of which turn out to be head fakes. The remarkable rebound in the U.S. stock market from the lows in late December has resulted in gains that the analysts at Goldman Sachs rightly point out already constitute banner returns for an entire calendar ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: Credit Card Borrowing Is on the Rise Posted: January 18, 2019 at 05:00 AM (Friday)Americans are increasingly reaching for the plastic in their wallets to cover what their paychecks won’t. Even though evidence is mounting that the U.S. economy may be soon heading into a recession, there are plenty of analysts who say that the surge in credit card borrowing is a sign of strong confidence among households. That's hardly the ... | |
| Danielle DiMartino Booth: High Income Households Aren't Very Optimistic Posted: December 5, 2018 at 07:30 AM (Wednesday)In a rare occurrence, households with the most purchasing power are more pessimistic than those with the least. If data dependency is the name of the game, then Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has his work cut out for him. In an economy driven by consumption, the key is having a firm grasp on how spending is poised to perform in the ... | |
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