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| ECRI |
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| Ed Carson |
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| Ed Carson: Fed Meeting Looms: Here Are The Fed Rate-Cut Odds Posted: April 28, 2024 at 11:16 AM (Sunday)The latest Fed meeting takes place on April 30-May 1. A few months ago, investors were betting that a major easing cycle would be well underway by this time. Now markets see virtually no chance of a Fed rate cut on Wednesday, with the first cut not coming until September and possibly not at all. Economic growth has remained solid while ... | |
| Ed Carson: Fed Rate Cut Forecasts Making A Big Shift. Here Are The Latest Odds. Posted: April 8, 2024 at 06:34 AM (Monday)Markets continue to push back and price out Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, following weeks of Fed policymakers jawboning and stronger-than-expected inflation and other economic data. Investors now longer expect a Fed rate cut in June, though that it's essentially a toss-up. Meanwhile, markets are moving away from three rate cuts this year. ... | |
| Ed Carson: Federal Reserve Meeting: When Will Fed Rate Cuts Begin? Here Are The Odds. Posted: January 29, 2024 at 06:26 AM (Monday)The Federal Reserve meeting takes place on Tuesday-Wednesday. The Fed is pivoting toward interest-rate cuts in 2024, but when will that start? Markets see virtually no chance of a Fed rate cut on Jan. 31, with a March 20 cut a tossup. Investors also are split on whether the Fed will cut five or six times for the year. Fed Rate-Cut Odds Jan. ... | |
| Ed Carson: The Federal Reserve Is Sending A New Message On Rate Cuts. Is Wall Street Listening? Posted: January 21, 2024 at 02:27 PM (Sunday)Federal Reserve officials made a concerted effort this past week to stress that Fed rate cuts will be slower and less aggressive than investors have been expected. That message is starting to get through to Wall Street, though that didn't stop the stock market rally.
At the Dec. 12-13 Fed meeting, policymakers signaled that the central bank would cut rates three times in 2024, confirming a pivot from Fed rate hikes. But markets immediately expected six quarter-point rate cuts for the year, or 150 basis points, with the first cut coming ... | |
| Ed Carson: Federal Reserve Set To Slash Interest Rates In 2024. But Let's Get Real Posted: December 28, 2023 at 08:00 AM (Thursday)The Federal Reserve is expected to begin a steady diet of rate cuts in 2024, but policy may still be restrictive by the end of next year. Fed policymakers penciled in three rate cuts next year. That would bring down the fed funds rate from 5.25%-5.5% to 4.5%-4.75%. But markets are pricing in six quarter-point Fed rate cuts, possibly a seventh. ... | |
| Ed Carson: Retail Sales Much Stronger Than Expected; Yields Soar Posted: October 17, 2023 at 04:35 PM (Tuesday)Retail sales rose much more than expected in September, signaling consumer spending and the U.S. economy are running too hot for the Federal Reserve's liking. That's despite headwinds such as the ongoing UAW strike vs. Ford, General Motors and Stellantis, as well as the resumption of student loan payments. The S&P 500 opened lower as ... | |
| Ed Carson: CPI Inflation Rate Below Views, Signaling Patient Fed Posted: August 10, 2023 at 01:22 PM (Thursday)The consumer price index rose modestly in July, the Labor Department reported Thursday morning, with the annual CPI inflation rate rising slightly less than expected. The S&P 500 rose solidly after the open but has slashed gains since mid-morning.
The inflation figures reinforce expectations of no change in Federal Reserve policy. ... | |
| Ed Carson: CPI Inflation Rate Is Expected To Rise In July. Why The Federal Reserve Won't Care. Posted: August 9, 2023 at 08:26 AM (Wednesday)The consumer price index, due out from the Labor Department early Thursday, should show just a modest monthly gain in July, even as the annual CPI inflation rate moves higher. Core CPI prices also are expected to be relatively tame, with the yearly increase set to stay stubbornly high. But the inflation figures aren't expected to alter ... | |
| Ed Carson: U.S. Economic Optimism Hits One-Year Low; Investors Sour As S&P 500 Slides Posted: August 8, 2023 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for August fell to its lowest level in more than a year as recession fears waned but inflation concerns revived. Investors turned slightly gloomy with the stock market rally moving to under pressure as Apple and Tesla led a retreat. The IBD/TIPP U.S. Economic Optimism Index fell 1 point to 40.3. The index ... | |
| Ed Carson: CPI Inflation Runs Hot Posted: October 13, 2022 at 09:41 AM (Thursday)The CPI inflation rate continued to cool in September, but less than expected. Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy, rose at the fastest annual rate since 1982. Stocks opened in a steep dive following the CPI inflation report. Treasury yields jumped above 4% as the data reinforced Fed rate hike expectations. September's ... | |
| Ed Carson: Retail Sales, Other Key Data Ease Economic Growth Fears Posted: August 15, 2019 at 09:17 AM (Thursday)U.S. retail sales rose 0.7% in July, much better than expected and easing fears about economic growth at home and worldwide. Meanwhile, two regional Federal Reserve manufacturing surveys also came in stronger than expected, along with U.S. productivity growth. Retail sales excluding autos spiked 1%, with sales up 0.9% excluding autos and ... | |
| Ed Carson: West Bucks Rising Optimism On Soaring California Gas Prices Posted: March 3, 2015 at 04:40 PM (Tuesday) The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index rose to start March, as Americans in most of the country were much more upbeat about their own financial outlooks. But out West, pessimism has intensified as California gas prices rise at the fastest pace in at least 15 years.
The Economic Optimism Index is now 49.1, up from 47.5 a month earlier but ... | |
| Ed Conard |
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| Ed Feulner |
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| Ed Gillespie |
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| Ed Glaeser |
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| Ed Hays |
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| Ed Marsh |
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| Ed Meese |
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| Ed Rendell |
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| Ed Rogers |
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| Ed Yarden |
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| Ed Yardeni |
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| Edie Littlefield Sundby |
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| Edmund Phelps |
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| Eduardo Porter |
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| Edward Conard |
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| Edward DeMarco |
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| Edward Erler |
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| Edward Frenkel |
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| Edward Glaeser |
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| Edward Hadas |
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| Edward Jung |
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| Edward Lazear |
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| Edward Niedermeyer |
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| Edward Pinto |
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| Edward Prescott |
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| Edward Yardeni |
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| Edwin Burton |
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| Edwin Feulner |
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| Edwin Meese |
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| EJ Antoni |
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| Elaine Glusac |
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| Elaine Parker |
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| Elbridge Colby |
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| Eleanor Mueller |
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| Elena Marks |
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| Eli Dourado |
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| Eli Lake |
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| Eliana Johnson |
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| Elijah Cummings |
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| Elisa Martinuzzi |
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| Elisabeth Braw |
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| Elizabeth Ames |
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| Elizabeth Ames Coleman |
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| Elizabeth Economy |
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| Elizabeth Foley |
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| Elizabeth Holmes |
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| Elizabeth Milito |
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| Elizabeth Price Foley |
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| Elizabeth Sawyer Kelly |
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| Elizabeth Truss |
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| Elizabeth Warren |
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| Ellen Carmichael |
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| Ellen Wald |
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| Ellen Zentner |
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| Elliot Kaufman |
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| Emily Badger |
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| Emily Cochrane |
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| Emily Flitter |
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| Emily Kapur |
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| Emily Miller |
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| Emily Mullin |
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| Emily Oster |
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| Emmanuel Macron |
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| Emmanuel Saez |
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| Enam Ahmed |
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| Enrico Moretti |
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| Eran Bendavid |
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| Eric Blankenstein |
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