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Aaron Brown: What the Inverted Yield Curve Says About the Next Recession

While the signs are ominous, they’re not yet suggesting an economic disruption as severe as the one that ended the 1970s inflation shock. A yield curve inversion, when rates for two-year US Treasury notes rise above those for 10-year notes, has preceded every recession since the 1960s. The first clear inversion in 15 years happened in July

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Posted: December 6, 2022 Tuesday 06:00 AM